Status : Published Published On : Nov, 2019 Report Code : VRAT4062 Industry : Automotive & Transportation Available Format : Page : 87

Europe Electric Bus Market – Analysis and Forecast (2019-2024)

Industry Insights by Vehicle Type (Battery Electric Bus [BEB], Hybrid Electric Bus [HEB], Plug-In Hybrid Electric Bus [PHEB]), by Battery (Lithium Iron Phosphate Battery [LFP], Lithium Nickel Manganese Cobalt Oxide [NMC], Others), by Length (Less Than 10m, More Than 10m)

Industry Overview

The European electric bus market is projected to reach 11,866 units by 2024, registering a CAGR of 32.9% during the forecast period. Government support for electric vehicles, increasing need to reduce greenhouse gas emission, and advancement in technology, propelling the growth of the market.

Market Segmentation

Insight by Vehicle Type

On the basis of vehicle type, the European electric bus market is categorized into battery electric bus (BEB), hybrid electric bus (HEB), plug-in hybrid electric bus (PHEB), wherein BEB category accounted for largest share in 2018. The category is expected to lead throughout the forecast period, owing to the low or zero emission of greenhouse gases, declining battery prices and improving battery efficiency. The demand for hybrid electric buses is declining as the demand has majorly shifted towards battery electric buses.

Insight by Battery

On the basis of battery, the European electric bus market is divided into lithium iron phosphate battery (LFP), lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide (NMC), and others. Among these categories, the LFP category accounted for largest share in 2018. This is primarily due to the increasing traction for the lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide batteries. The NMC batteries are anticipated to observe an increase of almost 5 times in its share by 2024 when compared to its share in 2018 in the European electric bus market.

Industry Dynamics

Growth Drivers

European electric bus market has been driven by several key factors, predominantly government support for electric vehicles, and increasing need to reduce greenhouse gas emission.

Different governments across the Europe are taking initiatives to replace the petroleum based automotive fleet with electric powered vehicles. Different countries provide incentive and frame regulations to support the electric vehicles adoption. In European Union, governments are undertaking key initiatives to opt for green energy driven vehicles. The policies related to electric buss in EU is mainly focused on technological optimization and market development.

For instance, the European Commission supported a Europe-wide electromobility initiative, Green eMotion, worth €41.8 million (USD 46.9 million), in partnership with forty-two partners from industry, utilities, electric vehicle manufacturers, municipalities, universities and technology and research institutions. The project developed prototypes to connect the islands of electromobility existing at the time of the project start. An overarching ICT architecture was defined and standards, especially for ICT interfaces, were set. New business models for public charging infrastructure were analysed and ways shown for its optimised integration into the grid.

Challenges

Key factors hindering the growth of the European electric bus market are high price of electric buses and growing popularity of natural gas fueled buses.

Geographic Overview

Geographically, the U.K. electric bus market accounted for largest share in. This is attributed to the increasing adoption rate of electric vehicles, government supporting schemes for the adoption of electric vehicles and for developing infrastructure related to electric vehicles include charging station.

Competitive Insight

Some of the key players operating in the European electric bus market are Solaris Bus & Coach, VDL Bus & Coach BV, EBUSCO, Bozankaya A.S., Belkommunmash Holding, Sor Libchavy spol. s r.o., AB Volvo, Irizar Group, Scania AB, BYD company limited, and Alexander Dennis Limited.

Forecast Parameters

- Identifying variables and establishing market impact.
- Establishing market trends regionally.
- Analyzing opportunities and market penetration rates by understanding product commercialization, regional expansion.
- Analyzing demand and supply trends and changes in industry dynamics to establish future growth.
- Analyzing sustainability strategies adhered by market participants in an attempt to determine the future course of the market.
- Analyzing historical market trends and super-imposing them on the current and future variables to determine the year-on-year trends.
- Understanding adoption, production, export, import and regulatory framework.

Data Validation

- Estimated and forecasted data was validated through industry experts.
- Apart from industry experts, data triangulation methods were used for validation.
- Bottom up and top down approach has been used for estimation and forecast of market data, whereas top down approach was used for validation.
- Demand, as well as supply-side surveys, were conducted in order to understand the industry dynamics and data validation.

Primary Research

VynZ Research conducts extensive primary research to understand the market dynamics, validate market data and have key opinions from the industry experts. The key profiles approached within the industry include CEO, CFO, CTO, President, Vice President, Product Managers, Regional Heads, and Others. Also, end-user surveys comprising of consumers are also conducted to understand consumer behavior.

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Research Methodology

  •  Desk Research / Pilot Interviews
  •  Build Market Size Model
  •  Research and Analysis
  •  Final Deliverabvle
Europe Electric Bus Market